Sum Square | STP | TOTAL Absolute | AVG Absolute | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Rank | Forecaster | Class | Entry Date / LT | CAR | 12.10 | BGR | 12.60 | PWM | 2.70 | CON | 2.70 | BTV | 15.20 | BOS | 0.80 | HYA | 0.25 | ORH | 0.70 | PVD | 0.40 | BDR | 0.05 | BDL | 0.05 | Forecaster | ALB | 3.30 | BGM | 4.70 | ISP | 0.20 | JFK | 0.10 | ABE | 0.05 | MDT | 0.05 | PHL | 0.05 | ACY | 0.05 | EWR | 0.10 | BWI | 0.05 | IAD | 0.00 | DCA | 0.00 | SBY | 0.05 | RIC | 0.00 | ORF | 0.05 | RDU | 0.00 | Forecaster | Class | 4casts | Error (") | Error Z | %MPROV over AVG | Rank | 56 | Abs Error (") |
Error Z | %MPROV over AVG | Rank | Error (") | Error Z | %MPROV over AVG | Rank | Error (") | Error Z | %MPROV over AVG | Rank | RSQ | RSQ Z | %MPROV over AVG | Rank | Forecaster | ||
1 | donsutherland1 | Senior | 02/02/22 21:47 | 7.5 | 4.6 | 11.0 | 1.6 | 5.3 | 2.6 | 4.9 | 2.2 | 11.3 | 3.9 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 0.9 | donsutherland1 | 4.5 | 1.2 | 5.5 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.05 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.05 | - | 0.0 | 0.05 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.05 | - | 0.05 | 0.05 | - | - | 0.0 | 0.05 | - | - | 0.0 | 0.05 | - | - | donsutherland1 | Senior | 24 | 55 | -0.841 | 72% | 1 | 56 | 0.4 | -0.729 | 98% | 1 | 20.7 | -0.759 | 45% | 1 | 0.862 | -0.801 | 45.5% | 2 | 0.906 | 0.843 | 29% | 1 | donsutherland1 | ||
2 | TQ | Chief | 02/02/22 21:43 | 10.0 | 2.1 | 12.0 | 0.6 | 6.0 | 3.3 | 6.0 | 3.3 | 11.0 | 4.2 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.05 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | TQ | 6.0 | 2.7 | 6.0 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.05 | - | 0.05 | - | 0.05 | - | 0.05 | - | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.05 | - | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.05 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.05 | - | - | TQ | Chief | 25 | 56 | -0.836 | 72% | 2 | 63 | 7.6 | -0.413 | 56% | 4 | 21.4 | -0.725 | 43% | 2 | 0.858 | -0.806 | 45.8% | 1 | 0.888 | 0.766 | 26% | 2 | TQ | ||
3 | VWN Quags | Senior | 02/02/22 18:33 | 7.0 | 5.1 | 11.0 | 1.6 | 5.0 | 2.3 | 5.5 | 2.8 | 11.0 | 4.2 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.05 | 0.5 | 0.5 | VWN Quags | 6.0 | 2.7 | 5.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | - | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.05 | 0.0 | 0.05 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.05 | - | - | 0.0 | 0.05 | - | - | VWN Quags | Senior | 23 | 71 | -0.748 | 64% | 3 | 58 | 1.8 | -0.668 | 90% | 2 | 23.7 | -0.624 | 37% | 5 | 1.03 | -0.614 | 35% | 5 | 0.869 | 0.685 | 23% | 5 | VWN Quags | ||
4 | NWS ER WFOs | GOVT | 02/02/22 21:47 | 6.4 | 5.7 | 10.3 | 2.3 | 5.3 | 2.6 | 4.4 | 1.7 | 10.3 | 4.9 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.9 | NWS ER WFOs | 4.3 | 1.0 | 5.1 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.05 | 0.0 | 0.05 | 0.1 | - | 0.0 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.05 | - | - | 0.0 | 0.05 | - | - | NWS ER WFOs | GOVT | 23 | 75 | -0.720 | 62% | 4 | 52 | 4.0 | -0.568 | 76% | 3 | 22.8 | -0.665 | 39% | 3 | 0.99 | -0.658 | 37% | 3 | 0.883 | 0.744 | 25% | 4 | NWS ER WFOs | ||
5 | JessicaCain | Senior | 02/02/22 20:05 | 7.3 | 4.8 | 5.1 | 7.5 | 3.7 | 1.0 | 4.5 | 1.8 | 10.4 | 4.8 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.7 | - | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.05 | 0.4 | 0.4 | JessicaCain | 2.9 | 0.4 | 4.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.05 | 0.0 | 0.05 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.05 | - | - | 0.0 | 0.05 | - | - | JessicaCain | Senior | 23 | 108 | -0.528 | 45% | 5 | 40 | 15.4 | -0.072 | 10% | 6 | 23.2 | -0.647 | 38% | 4 | 1.01 | -0.639 | 36% | 4 | 0.884 | 0.747 | 25% | 3 | JessicaCain | ||
6 | RogerSmith | Senior | 02/02/22 20:21 | 1.5 | 10.6 | 6.0 | 6.6 | 3.5 | 0.8 | 3.5 | 0.8 | 4.5 | 10.7 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.05 | - | 0.8 | 0.8 | RogerSmith | 4.5 | 1.2 | 8.8 | 4.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 4.5 | 4.5 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 0.05 | 0.0 | 0.05 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.05 | - | - | 0.0 | 0.05 | - | - | RogerSmith | Senior | 23 | 316 | 0.711 | -61% | 6 | 42 | 14.3 | -0.122 | 16% | 5 | 44.8 | 0.326 | -19% | 6 | 1.95 | 0.408 | -23% | 6 | 0.342 | -1.523 | -52% | 8 | RogerSmith | ||
7 | MitchelVolk | Senior | 02/02/22 22:01 | 4.0 | 8.1 | 8.0 | 4.6 | 8.0 | 5.3 | 11.0 | 8.3 | 8.0 | 7.2 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 5.0 | 4.3 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | MitchelVolk | 12.0 | 8.7 | 11.0 | 6.3 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | - | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.05 | 0.0 | 0.05 | 0.1 | - | 0.0 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.05 | - | - | 0.0 | 0.05 | - | - | MitchelVolk | Senior | 23 | 376 | 1.066 | -91% | 7 | 73 | 17.6 | 0.021 | -3% | 7 | 58.3 | 0.931 | -55% | 7 | 2.53 | 1.058 | -60% | 7 | 0.352 | -1.480 | -50% | 7 | MitchelVolk | ||
8 | NJTom | Intern | 02/02/22 18:49 | 9.8 | 2.3 | 13.4 | 0.8 | 10.1 | 7.4 | 13.1 | 10.4 | 12.4 | 2.8 | 5.9 | 5.1 | 4.1 | 3.9 | 6.3 | 5.6 | 4.9 | 4.5 | 4.8 | 4.8 | 4.7 | 4.7 | NJTom | 12.7 | 9.4 | 13.4 | 8.7 | 3.7 | 3.5 | 2.7 | 2.6 | 2.6 | 2.6 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.05 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.05 | - | - | 0.0 | 0.05 | - | - | NJTom | Intern | 25 | 516 | 1.896 | -162% | 8 | 132 | 75.7 | 2.551 | -343% | 8 | 85.7 | 2.162 | -128% | 8 | 3.43 | 2.051 | -117% | 8 | 0.519 | -0.781 | -26% | 6 | NJTom | ||
Forecast Parameters | CAR | Error | BGR | Error | PWM | Error | CON | Error | BTV | Error | BOS | Error | HYA | Error | ORH | Error | PVD | Error | BDR | Error | BDL | Error | Forecast Parameters | ALB | Error | BGM | Error | ISP | Error | JFK | Error | ABE | Error | MDT | Error | PHL | Error | ACY | Error | EWR | Error | BWI | Error | IAD | Error | DCA | Error | SBY | Error | RIC | Error | ORF | Error | RDU | Error | Forecast Parameters | 189 | Error | Error Z | % MPRV | Rank | STP | Error | Error Z | %MPRV | Rank | Error | Error Z | %MPRV | Rank | Error | Error Z | %MPRV | Rank | RSQ | RSQ Z | %MPRV | Rank | Forecast Parameters | ||||||
Rookie | - | Consensus | MIN | 1.5 | 2.1 | 5.1 | 0.6 | 3.5 | 0.8 | 3.5 | 0.8 | 4.5 | 2.8 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.7 | - | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | - | 0.4 | 0.4 | MIN | 2.9 | 0.4 | 4.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | - | 0.1 | - | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | MIN | 23 | 55.0 | -0.841 | -162.4% | 1 | 40.4 | 0.4 | -0.729 | -342.8% | 1 | 20.7 | -0.759 | -128.0% | 1 | 0.86 | -0.806 | -116.6% | 1 | 0.342 | -1.523 | -51.5% | 1 | MIN | |||
Intern | 1 | MAX | 10.0 | 10.6 | 13.4 | 7.5 | 10.1 | 7.4 | 13.1 | 10.4 | 12.4 | 10.7 | 5.9 | 5.1 | 4.1 | 3.9 | 6.3 | 5.6 | 4.9 | 4.5 | 4.8 | 4.8 | 4.7 | 4.7 | MAX | 12.7 | 9.4 | 13.4 | 8.7 | 3.7 | 3.5 | 2.7 | 2.6 | 4.5 | 4.5 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | MAX | 25 | 515.7 | 1.896 | 72.0% | 8 | 131.5 | 75.7 | 2.551 | 97.9% | 8 | 85.7 | 2.162 | 44.9% | 8 | 3.43 | 2.051 | 45.8% | 8 | 0.906 | 0.843 | 28.5% | 8 | MAX | ||||
Journey | - | AVG | 6.7 | 5.4 | 9.6 | 3.2 | 5.9 | 3.2 | 6.6 | 3.9 | 9.9 | 5.3 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 2.6 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.3 | AVG | 6.6 | 3.4 | 7.4 | 2.8 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | AVG | 24 | 196.5 | 0.000 | 0.0% | 5 | 64.5 | 17.1 | 0.000 | 0.0% | 5 | 37.6 | 0.000 | 0.0% | 5 | 1.58 | 0.000 | 0.0% | 5 | 0.705 | 0.000 | 0.0% | 5 | AVG | ||||
Senior | 6 | Median | 7.2 | 5.0 | 10.7 | 2.0 | 5.3 | 2.6 | 5.2 | 2.5 | 10.7 | 4.5 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 0.8 | Median | 5.3 | 2.0 | 5.8 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | Median | 23 | 91.4 | -0.624 | 53.5% | 5 | 56.9 | 10.9 | -0.267 | 35.9% | 5 | 23.4 | -0.635 | 37.6% | 5 | 1.02 | -0.626 | 35.6% | 5 | 0.876 | 0.714 | 24.2% | 5 | Median | ||||
GOVT | 1 | Mode | #N/A | #N/A | 11.0 | 1.6 | 5.3 | 2.6 | #N/A | #N/A | 11.0 | 4.2 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.9 | Mode | 4.5 | 1.2 | #N/A | #N/A | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | #N/A | #N/A | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | Mode | 23 | Mode | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
PWSP | - | STD | 2.65 | 2.65 | 2.75 | 2.51 | 2.07 | 2.07 | 3.26 | 3.26 | 2.34 | 2.34 | 1.67 | 1.48 | 1.32 | 1.21 | 1.83 | 1.83 | 1.51 | 1.41 | 1.51 | 1.50 | 1.36 | 1.36 | STD | 3.44 | 3.34 | 3.12 | 3.01 | 1.20 | 1.10 | 0.87 | 0.83 | 1.54 | 1.53 | 0.79 | 0.79 | 0.07 | 0.04 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.74 | 0.73 | 0.10 | 0.07 | 0.66 | 0.66 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.02 | 0.02 | - | - | - | 0.00 | - | - | STD | 1 | 168.4 | 1.000 | 85.7% | 2.3 | 27.3 | 23.0 | 1.000 | 134.4% | 2.3 | 22.3 | 1.000 | 59.2% | 2.3 | 0.90 | 1.000 | 56.8% | 2.3 | 0.239 | 1.000 | 33.8% | 2.3 | STD | ||||
TOT | 8 | 25% | ile | 5.8 | 4.0 | 7.5 | 1.4 | 4.7 | 2.0 | 4.5 | 1.8 | 9.7 | 4.1 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 4.5 | 1.2 | 5.1 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | 25% | 23 | 66.9 | -0.770 | -68.5% | 3 | 49.2 | 3.5 | -0.593 | 6.5% | 3 | 22.5 | -0.680 | -28.3% | 3 | 0.96 | -0.694 | -32.4% | 3 | 0.477 | -0.956 | -32.3% | 3 | ||||
75% | ile | 8.1 | 6.3 | 11.3 | 5.1 | 6.5 | 3.8 | 7.3 | 4.6 | 11.1 | 5.5 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 2.8 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 7.5 | 4.2 | 9.4 | 4.7 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | 75% | 24 | 331.2 | 0.800 | 66.0% | 6 | 65.9 | 16.0 | -0.049 | 79.7% | 6 | 48.2 | 0.477 | 40.2% | 6 | 2.10 | 0.570 | 39.4% | 6 | 0.885 | 0.752 | 25.4% | 6 |